Weekly CPA – UK Economic Update – 11 April 2025

Weekly CPA – UK Economic Update – 11 April 2025

Date Published

11 April 2025

Document Type

Category

Author

TDUK

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Summary

NEW: ONS Construction Output (February 2025): Be cautious using ONS construction output data, as the ONS appears to have been overestimating output since 2022. As the CPA has
frequently highlighted, the problems appear to affect all sectors but are most visible in housing rm&i.

The ONS problems appear for two reasons: ONS appears to underestimate prices, and so overestimates volume when removing price from its value data, and it may have survivor bias in its contractor survey when grossing up to the industry due to a sharp rise in insolvencies over the last two years.